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Dear Readers,

Do you like a flutter? And if so, would you consider betting money on a war?

Sounds rather macabre, doesn’t it? Who in their right mind would relegate something so serious to the level of entertainment?

But unfortunately, this is exactly what’s occurring now. And though it’s unregulated it is perfectly legal.

Look at the following headline from the Australian Financial Review.
Source – Australian Financial Review

From the above article:

As US and Israeli bombs fell on Iran this weekend, betters on Polymarket—where $US529 million was traded on contracts tied to the timing of the strikes—were cashing in.

The accounts were all freshly created in February and had only ever placed bets on when US strikes might occur. Some of their shares were purchased, in some cases at roughly a US10¢ apiece, hours before the first explosions were reported in Tehran.

This is a new and nefarious twist to the tales of excess, speculation, and greed that represent all the hallmarks of the very late stages of a real estate cycle.

I have even heard so-called financial experts claim that this is the new revolution of investing.

The fact that this type of activity is occurring now is for me no coincidence.

Forewarned is forearmed. Let’s take a close look at this trend as it begins to sweep across the globe.

And what you truly stand to lose by partaking in activities like this.

Because today is the worst time to be gambling—on anything regarding your finances.
The unusual whale says

It is time now. Time for the very worst traits of humanity to surface. Or, for those lucky enough to be in the know, it is the final year of the 14 years of rising US land prices. The endgame of the current 18.6-year Real Estate Cycle.

For me, the very best examples of this excess today are the “predictive markets”.

This term – predictive market – makes them sound so normal and harmless, doesn’t it?

That is by design.

Polymarket is probably the most well-known protagonist, though there are more in this growing sector. Polymarket is a crypto-backed gambling company. Which means it exists right out on the margins of full oversight and regulation from government authorities.

And wouldn’t you know it: the current US president is a shareholder in the company via his involvement with venture capital group 1789 Capital Fund.

I guess there’s no vested interest at play here then, right?

Wrong.

Take a looking at the following observation on X:

Geez, those traders were lucky, weren’t they? Add to this the previous headlines about traders placing bets on hostilities beginning in Iran before they happened. And thanks to Polymarket crypto-based markets, the identity of who placed the bets will likely never be known.

We all know that war is extremely profitable for the select few involved. We are talking about those US based defence companies and their senior executives. Well, today it appears you don’t need to hold such exalted status. You just need to be in power, or be close to those in power, to potentially profit enormously.

This kind of activity makes me sick. The stench of corruption is strong.

What this truly represents is the ultimate damnation of human’s obsession with chasing the unearned gains of this planet. Chasing the economic rent for private use which produces so much harm and personal enrichment for the exact wrong type of people that we end up having to fight over it.

This is why we must have a real estate cycle. It must begin and, like today, it must end.

And so, dear reader, this takes me to my final question for you.
Why can’t you bet on governments to help?

Are predictive markets the future of investing as some have claimed? I have shown you just how fraudulent they are. Not only that, but there are insiders linked to the US government blatantly making money off inside knowledge.

How on earth are you supposed to compete against that?

But look beyond the headlines here. Apply the lens of the real estate cycle and you quickly realise this is exactly the sort of behaviour that manifests as we approach the final end game.

You simply cannot think you can gamble like this (unless you’re on the inside) with your precious investment capital.

But it plainly demonstrates that those in power do not care about you or your family. Instead, it’s about enriching their own.

Can you dare gamble, once the real estate cycle peak turns into bust, on such people making the right decisions at the right time for the economy? For you? As far as I’m concerned, it’s a bet too far out of the money to make.

But you can bet on yourself, once you have the requisite knowledge and timing on your side. And you learn all that via a membership to the Boom Bust Bulletin (BBB). Through monthly editions and weekly videos, you can turbocharge your understanding of the most important cycle on earth.

Anything else frankly at this late stage of proceedings is akin to gambling your financial future away. And I do not wish that upon anyone.

Give yourself the best chance of safely and profitably navigating the current stormy weather we are living through today.

It is not going to get any better from here either. So, it’s time to get prepared.

Sign up now.
Best wishes,

Darren J Wilson
and your Property Sharemarket Economics Team

P.P.S – Find us on Twitter here and go to our Facebook page here. This content is not personal or general advice. If you are in doubt as to how to apply or even should be applying the content in this document to your own personal situation, we recommend you seek professional financial advice. Feel free to forward this email to any other person whom you think should read it.