

The Real Estate Crash You Won’t See Coming – Because It’s Already Started
Phil Anderson is going through key questions with Adam Gower from the podcast Gower Crowd
Key points of this discussion:
- The Real Estate Cycle: A Warning for 2026
- The Foundation: Understanding Economic Rent
- The Law That Economics Forgot
- The Erasure of Land from Economics
- The Cycle Mechanics: Why 18-20 Years?
- Current Position in the Cycle
- Presidential Patterns: The Republican Connection
- A Striking Historical Correlation
- The Deregulation Imperative
- Current Signals: Reading the Tea Leaves
- Housing Stocks as Leading Indicators
- The Dollar Dilemma
- The Speculation Frenzy: Bitcoin and Beyond
- Strategic Positioning: Preparing for the Inevitable
- The Million-Dollar Question
When asked how he would deploy $1 million today, Phil’s advice reflects the cycle’s current stage:
Immediate Actions:
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Keep funds liquid and in banks rather than rushing into investments
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Avoid taking on additional debt, especially at potentially rising interest rates
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Prepare for property values to decline 20% or more
Positioning for Opportunity:
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Maintain an exemplary financial profile to secure credit during the downturn
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Prepare to be a buyer when others are forced sellers
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Focus on cash preservation and credit access rather than current yields
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