Each cycle has always played out similarly to the one that preceded it, even if it “looks” different. This much is shown by studying the history of the cycle. And yet, how come almost all the news most relevant to its journey seemingly gets missed or ignored by most? You must concentrate on making your perception razor sharp and block out the white noise of negativity and blatant nonsense that pervades most media today.

You see, alongside the 18.6-year Real Estate Cycle and the enormous amount of credit induced building already happening, there is another cycle you absolutely must be aware of. And it is the ending of this cycle that will have even more influence over the expected land market peaks later this decade. It is that important!

Every now and then I will reach out to bring you something a bit different which I think will be of great interest to you. I can assure you that today is no exception to that mission statement! Because we are about to have the release for sale a brand-new book that simply has to become an important part of your library of must-read investments books.

Exclusively for you as a regular Property Cycle Investor (PCI) newsletter reader, I’ve a surprise for you. Front row seats if you will to an important event. As a budding student of the real estate cycle, it’s one I’m sure you’ll appreciate.

You either: build your investment goals around financial news headlines. Or: trust the 18.6-year Real Estate Cycle instead. Before you make your choice, let me set out the case for the latter. Because the news is never correct.

It’s really starting to feel like it’s happening now! Can you tell what I am referring to? The second, more speculative, half of the 18.6-year Real Estate Cycle. And all the incredible hysteria, hedonistic behavior and of course the bucketload of cash and credit being spent on everything, everywhere, that it entails.

Today, I’ve decided to dedicate today’s newsletter to examining the truth of what’s happening in Australia. Because the truth is far more nuanced than you’d imagine.

How do you know when hype turns into a serious money-making opportunity? There have been a lot of previous trends that started out as pure hype, and even today, are still largely nothing but hype. Off the top of my head: hydrogen-powered motor vehicles.

Leaders in any walk of life, but particularly political leaders, rely on good advice. But when working for someone who is in power for life, advisors come to realise that telling them the truth – including bad news - is not the way to achieve career advancement. In fact, telling them what they don’t want to hear might even be hazardous to your health.