The 18.6 year real estate cycle – Property Sharemarket Economics – 18.6 Year Real Estate Investment Cycle

US rents rise at incredible rate! Find out what happens next.

Max — Mon, 25 Apr 2022 06:11:20 +0000

If you would like to receive weekly updates like this, sign up here. Sometimes it’s worth looking back at the past, even if you already know the outcome. I don’t watch a lot of TV nowadays. Thanks to streaming services like Netflix, I can pick and choose precisely what it is I want to watch, when I need (or can) watch. I’m a big sports fan, and so I’ve made it a yearly ritual now to go back and…

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Green spaces mean no space for you!

Max — Mon, 01 Nov 2021 03:25:28 +0000

If you would like to receive weekly updates like this, sign up here. There has been a major row between the neighbours of two closely located suburbs. In the historically Latino neighbourhoods of Pilsen and Little Village in Chicago a proposed multi-use pathway called El Paseo is bringing the idea of green space into sharp focus. The plan is to build this path alongside the existing Burlington…

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Did your profits indeed head North, or went South instead?

Max — Mon, 18 Oct 2021 09:31:18 +0000

If you would like to receive weekly updates like this, sign up here. “I decided to take two weeks in quarantine now, rather than wait for the third lockdown to come in September,” she said. “It was a bit of a risk waiting until the end of October to come up to Darwin.” “I didn’t feel mentally that I was going to get through another six weeks in lockdown.” The above was a quote from a blog I wrote…

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China’s property market on the brink of collapse! Really?

Max — Mon, 27 Sep 2021 05:58:32 +0000

If you would like to receive weekly updates like this, sign up here. “We’re witnessing sections of society being shut out of parts of our city because they can no longer afford apartments,” Berlin Mayor Michael Mueller says. “That’s the case in London, in Paris, in Rome, and now unfortunately increasingly in Berlin.” Wow, sounds bleak, doesn’t it? The above quote was from a recent Bloomberg…

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These innovative takes on the land market can lead to your best portfolio performers!

Max — Mon, 06 Sep 2021 05:36:44 +0000

If you would like to receive weekly updates like this, sign up here. ‘When real-estate agent Don Nugent listed a three-bedroom, two-bath house here on Jo Ann Drive, offers came immediately, including a $208,000 one from a couple with a young child looking for their first home. A competing bid was too attractive to pass up. American Homes 4 Rent, a public company that had been scooping up homes in…

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Without the timing, you WILL make these investment mistakes.

Max — Mon, 05 Jul 2021 05:46:07 +0000

If you would like to receive weekly updates like this, sign up here. A recent Bloomberg article is the reason for this week’s blog. I found it well-researched with reasoned arguments and some fabulous charts too. Inside, it speaks about the obsession when it comes to property across the globe. But that’s not why I’m writing about it. You see, the author wrote that he once challenged a young man at…

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Credit Crisis Now…Headlines into the late 2020’s

Alan Morris — Mon, 28 Sep 2020 06:38:41 +0000

The one thing we learn from history is that we don’t learn from history. In his book, The Secret Life of Real Estate and Banking, Phil Anderson illustrates how each phase of the 18.6 year cycle repeats, with ‘nobody seeing it coming’, the only variation being the new ways bankers find to avoid the regulations put in place after each collapse to ensure ‘it will never happen again’. We’ve seen it in…

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Twitter, Trump’s Trillions and The Turning of The Cycle

Alan Morris — Mon, 21 Sep 2020 05:57:28 +0000

Describing his book ‘The secret life of Real Estate and Banking’, Phil Anderson often repeated the following phrase. ‘The one thing I learnt in the ten years researching my book is that things happened in the US to ensure the cycle repeated. Every time, and on time.’ Let me give you some examples of that, currently, for this cycle so far. In 2016, much of the world was still looking backwards.

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Buyers looking to make a real estate killing seem to be getting a rude awakening

Alan Morris — Fri, 29 May 2020 06:14:27 +0000

Back in January – it seems like eons ago now – US housing stock was in short supply. It’s one reason why house prices in the US were still moving higher. But the virus brought a re-think, seemingly. House buyers retreated on a number of fronts. With fears not only about the economy but also about personal safety. On the surface you might have thought house prices would fall. You’d think. But here’…

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What the canary in the coal mine is saying about the property market

Alan Morris — Fri, 08 May 2020 06:12:36 +0000

December 30th, 1986 was an important day for canaries. On that day, an important tradition ended for them. You could say, that’s the day they got their freedom. You see, in the early days of mining, one of the most dangerous things for the workers in the mine was the build up of toxic gases. Gases you couldn’t see or smell. And then suddenly you’d get this almighty explosion.

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